A few days ago, the reporter interviewed many experts and researchers in the IT industry and asked them to make some predictions about the network development trend in the next 25 years. These predictions from major research laboratories may be the reality you can see for the next 25 years.
Experts said that after 25 years, the IT industry will accelerate innovation, which will lead to some incredible development achievements in some areas, such as man-machine dialogue, 3D teleconferencing systems and intelligent robots. These changes will trigger major changes in some industries, including healthcare, urban planning, energy, e-retail, and entertainment.
Dave Evans, chief future visionary at Cisco, said: “I like to use the term technology avalanche. We are in a period of great opportunities for growth. Things are changing at a faster pace... In the future, computer, storage and network speeds will grow significantly. And will give birth to some exciting moments."
The following employment circles are the five major predictions made by authoritative researchers on IT development in 2036:
1. The optical processor will replace the microelectronic processor Moore's Law will reach the physical limit. In 1965, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore predicted that the number of transistors on integrated circuits would double every two years. To drive processor and memory development, new technologies such as optical computing need to be introduced.
Optical or optoelectronic computers will use visible or infrared light instead of current to perform computational tasks.
"People want to get cheap, faster calculations. Our job is to explore other ways than electronics. Optoelectronics have two excellent features. First, they have lower energy consumption than the processors we currently use. It is more than 1000 times more efficient and capable than our current computer. You will have an optoelectronic computer for the next 20 to 25 years,†said Donald Newell, chief technology officer at AMD Server.
2. Another promising technology that quantum computers will be able to create faster, smaller processors is quantum computing. Quantum computers use atomic energy to perform computing tasks.
When the computer stores information, it can only store 0 or 1, and the quantum computer can store 0 and 1 at the same time, so it can process a large amount of information at the same time.
"In traditional computer science, binary means open or close, true or false. Quantum physics uses qubits, which can both represent on and off, so users can quickly transfer large amounts of data. After 25 years, quantum routing, quantum encryption, and quantum Switches will become a reality," Evans said.
ChipElliott, chief engineer of BBN technology, said: "I think we will no longer use binary in 25 years and move into the quantum environment. With extremely high quantum computer processing capabilities, we will be able to accurately simulate all the processes in the world.
3. Smartphones will have supercomputer capabilities "In the future, the performance of the iPhone or BlackBerry in our hands will be much stronger than the performance of the servers we currently deliver," Newell said. You no longer need to carry your wallet or key with you. All your credit card, debit card, identity, and membership information will be stored on your smartphone.
EMC Chief Strategy Officer Mark Lewis said: "All our digital information will be backed up through cloud computing.
The phone will have terabytes of storage capacity. If I accidentally lose my cell phone, then I just need to replace a new cell phone and enter my password. The Cloud Computing Center will re-identify me and push all my information to my new phone. â€
The user's mobile phone will be able to connect with a high-performance network, and a large amount of information is controlled by your finger.
Bernie Meyerson, senior researcher at IBM and vice president of global research at IBM Research, said: “You can store all your human knowledge on your PDA. Your phone can quickly find a database through next-generation networks that can translate your questions and answers into Your native language."
4, humans will be able to talk with the computer forget the keyboard, mouse or touchpad. In the future, you just need to talk to your computer to let the computer perform computing tasks or find answers.
IBM's Watson is a computer system that recently defeated players in man-machine games, pointing to the direction of natural language interactions for computers. Meyerson explained: "The Watson system is able to interact with humans, have the ability to learn from their own mistakes, be able to query more data, and have the ability to enhance human capabilities."
IBM expects that future Watson-like systems will help physicians diagnose incurable diseases.
"Interaction with computers should be more freedom. Today's human-computer interaction is far from the level of free communication. It is subject to strict regulations. These regulations will disappear in the next 25 years. It will exceed the need for greater progress in hardware and software." Meyerson said.
5. Technology Adapts to Humanity So far, we have been the slaves of machines. We have to learn how to adapt to each new technology, how to control every new interface, how to program, from VCR to Apple iPhone. But in the future, technology will adapt more to humans.
“In the future, technology will become more popular, embedded technology will be at your fingertips, and technology will adapt to us. We will look at the world of television from your TV to your world. All devices will be embedded in the camera. All devices are watching. You, ensure your code of conduct." Evans said.
He predicts, "We will like our life, technology will interact with us, and provide the right information for us in the right environment at the right time."
Experts said that after 25 years, the IT industry will accelerate innovation, which will lead to some incredible development achievements in some areas, such as man-machine dialogue, 3D teleconferencing systems and intelligent robots. These changes will trigger major changes in some industries, including healthcare, urban planning, energy, e-retail, and entertainment.
Dave Evans, chief future visionary at Cisco, said: “I like to use the term technology avalanche. We are in a period of great opportunities for growth. Things are changing at a faster pace... In the future, computer, storage and network speeds will grow significantly. And will give birth to some exciting moments."
The following employment circles are the five major predictions made by authoritative researchers on IT development in 2036:
1. The optical processor will replace the microelectronic processor Moore's Law will reach the physical limit. In 1965, Intel co-founder Gordon Moore predicted that the number of transistors on integrated circuits would double every two years. To drive processor and memory development, new technologies such as optical computing need to be introduced.
Optical or optoelectronic computers will use visible or infrared light instead of current to perform computational tasks.
"People want to get cheap, faster calculations. Our job is to explore other ways than electronics. Optoelectronics have two excellent features. First, they have lower energy consumption than the processors we currently use. It is more than 1000 times more efficient and capable than our current computer. You will have an optoelectronic computer for the next 20 to 25 years,†said Donald Newell, chief technology officer at AMD Server.
2. Another promising technology that quantum computers will be able to create faster, smaller processors is quantum computing. Quantum computers use atomic energy to perform computing tasks.
When the computer stores information, it can only store 0 or 1, and the quantum computer can store 0 and 1 at the same time, so it can process a large amount of information at the same time.
"In traditional computer science, binary means open or close, true or false. Quantum physics uses qubits, which can both represent on and off, so users can quickly transfer large amounts of data. After 25 years, quantum routing, quantum encryption, and quantum Switches will become a reality," Evans said.
ChipElliott, chief engineer of BBN technology, said: "I think we will no longer use binary in 25 years and move into the quantum environment. With extremely high quantum computer processing capabilities, we will be able to accurately simulate all the processes in the world.
3. Smartphones will have supercomputer capabilities "In the future, the performance of the iPhone or BlackBerry in our hands will be much stronger than the performance of the servers we currently deliver," Newell said. You no longer need to carry your wallet or key with you. All your credit card, debit card, identity, and membership information will be stored on your smartphone.
EMC Chief Strategy Officer Mark Lewis said: "All our digital information will be backed up through cloud computing.
The phone will have terabytes of storage capacity. If I accidentally lose my cell phone, then I just need to replace a new cell phone and enter my password. The Cloud Computing Center will re-identify me and push all my information to my new phone. â€
The user's mobile phone will be able to connect with a high-performance network, and a large amount of information is controlled by your finger.
Bernie Meyerson, senior researcher at IBM and vice president of global research at IBM Research, said: “You can store all your human knowledge on your PDA. Your phone can quickly find a database through next-generation networks that can translate your questions and answers into Your native language."
4, humans will be able to talk with the computer forget the keyboard, mouse or touchpad. In the future, you just need to talk to your computer to let the computer perform computing tasks or find answers.
IBM's Watson is a computer system that recently defeated players in man-machine games, pointing to the direction of natural language interactions for computers. Meyerson explained: "The Watson system is able to interact with humans, have the ability to learn from their own mistakes, be able to query more data, and have the ability to enhance human capabilities."
IBM expects that future Watson-like systems will help physicians diagnose incurable diseases.
"Interaction with computers should be more freedom. Today's human-computer interaction is far from the level of free communication. It is subject to strict regulations. These regulations will disappear in the next 25 years. It will exceed the need for greater progress in hardware and software." Meyerson said.
5. Technology Adapts to Humanity So far, we have been the slaves of machines. We have to learn how to adapt to each new technology, how to control every new interface, how to program, from VCR to Apple iPhone. But in the future, technology will adapt more to humans.
“In the future, technology will become more popular, embedded technology will be at your fingertips, and technology will adapt to us. We will look at the world of television from your TV to your world. All devices will be embedded in the camera. All devices are watching. You, ensure your code of conduct." Evans said.
He predicts, "We will like our life, technology will interact with us, and provide the right information for us in the right environment at the right time."
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